Tua Tagovailoa is the linchpin of the Dolphins' offense, and it's clear to see how much his injury has changed the NFL odds for Week 3. Miami was a 2.5-point favorite over Seattle before Tagovailoa got hurt last Thursday. Now, with Skylar Thompson under center for the Dolphins, there's a seven-point line shift that gives the Seahawks a 4.5-point favorite in the NFL odds for Week 3. Miami is just 1-5 when Tagovailoa plays half or fewer snaps in 2022 and beyond.
The total has also changed, opening at 48.5 before dropping by seven points to 41.5. By combining both the spread and over/under picks in Pro Football, you can go all-in on this game with our Week 3 NFL parlay picks. Those who jumped on the early NFL Las Vegas lines could have an advantage, so don't wait any longer if NFL betting odds continue to fluctuate. Before making any Week 3 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to check out the opinion of SportsLine Senior Analyst Larry Hartstein.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Las Vegas sources with the analytical approach he honed at Pro Football Focus. Hartstein is tied for 52nd (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas Supercontest with a 53-34-3 ATS record. His weekly Las Vegas contest picks form the basis for his NFL Best Bets column and are 81-51-3 (61.3%, +24.65 units) since the start of 2022. He is 2-3-1 in Best Bets this season and is pretty high up the list for anyone who follows him.
Hartstein is confident in his three best bets for Week 3, and if his predictions are correct, they could pay out more than 6 to 1. See Hartstein's Week 3 NFL predictions exclusively at SportsLine.
Top NFL picks for Week 3
It's fair to say Hartstein expects the Buccaneers (-6, 41) to cover the Broncos. Despite having one of the greatest offensive talents of his generation in Sean Payton as head coach, Denver has been mired in offense, ranking in the bottom five in both points and yards, not throwing a single touchdown pass this year and committing the most turnovers. Additionally, the Buccaneers have recently terrorized a rookie quarterback like Bo Nix, winning four straight games and covering in all four of those games, holding the rookie quarterback to zero touchdowns, three turnovers and 13 sacks.
“This matchup of Todd Bowles' blitz defense against Bo Nix is excellent,” Hartstein told SportsLine. “Broncos right tackle Mike McGlinchey is out (MCL) and the reserves are shaky at best. Denver's offense averaged 2.8 yards per play through the first three quarters before the defense shifted into a less aggressive mode.” See more NFL parlay picks here.
How to make an NFL parlay for Week 3
Hartstein also bet on two other NFL matchups, predicting that “desperate” teams coming off losses will pull off strong wins in Week 3. You can find Hartstein's best Week 3 NFL bets and parlays exclusively at SportsLine.
What are Hartstein's top NFL picks for Week 3, and what other NFL matchups should you target for a 6-to-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to find out the answers by seeing the best NFL bets for Week 3 from our Las Vegas expert, who is making a 24.65 unit profit on his NFL ATS picks.
