It's been a tough start to the season in terms of my best bet for the NBA, but that won't stop me from hitting the big time on Wednesday night.
There are five bets I'm looking at on Wednesday and I'm hoping for a great night back for the season to restart. The beginning of the season is always a time when you feel a little down, so there's no reason to change your strategy just yet.
Here's where I'm leaning for Wednesday, October 30th.
View Peter Dewey's NBA betting record (including futures) here. You can also follow my daily play on BetStamp here.
Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook.
Boston Celtics 1H -3.5 (-112) vs. Indiana Pacers – 0.5 units
Last season, Boston was by far the best team against the spread in the NBA in the first half of games, and they are off to a solid start in that market this season.
I'm watching the C's play on Wednesday against an Indiana Pacers team that is lagging in the 2024-25 season.
Not only are the Pacers only 26th in the league in net rating, but their offense was questionable, especially early in the game.
Indiana ranks 22nd in first-half points per game this season (52.8), while Boston ranks first (66.0 first-half points per game).
This is a short spread for a Boston team that is gearing up to start the season and could see sharpshooter Sam Hauser (questionable) return to the rotation tonight.
Tyrese Maxey OVER 29.5 points (-110) – 0.5 units
Let's go back to the well with Tyrese Maxey, who hit this prop in the Philadelphia 76ers' last game against the Indiana Pacers.
Paul George and Joel Embiid were sidelined again on Wednesday, and Maxey has taken a ton of shots in their absence this season.
So we know Maxey will take 20-plus shots, but he still hasn't found his 3-point shot this season after shooting 37.3 percent from deep last season.
In my eyes, that means he has room to grow against a Detroit team that ranks 24th in the NBA in defensive rating this season.
As long as Embiid and George are out, you have to bet on Maxey having big scoring games this season.
Charlotte Hornets -6.5 (-108) vs. Toronto Raptors – 0.5 units
The Charlotte Hornets will be without Brandon Miller on Wednesday, but the Toronto Raptors are even stronger.
Let's take a quick look at the rotation players who won't or likely won't play Wednesday.
That means four rotation players and at least two starters (depending on where you rate Brown) will miss this game.
Charlotte started 1-2, beating Houston in each game but losing by single digits to Miami and Atlanta.
Toronto has struggled overall this season (28th in net rating) and with two of their best players out tonight (Burns and Quickley), I think the Hornets can win this game fairly easily. .
I also don't mind the Hornets being chosen as the money line piece in the parlay. If you want to go that route.
Mikal Bridges + Bam Adebayo Parlay 12+ Points (-156) – 0.5 increments
The first player prop parlay of the season, albeit a small one, for the New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat matchup.
Mikal Bridges 12+ points
Despite questions about his shot, Mikal Bridges has scored 16 or more points in every game with the Knicks this season, making 13, 12 and 15 shot attempts in those games.
Josh Hart, who is questionable for this game with a lower leg injury, will play at least 33 minutes in every game, with more minutes for Bridges, who played 40 minutes in the Knicks' loss to Indiana on Monday. There is a possibility.
As long as Mikal attempts double-digit shots, 12 is a very achievable number for him on Wednesday.
Bam Adebayo 12+ points
Miami Heat big man Bam Adebayo has had a slow start to the season, averaging just 11.0 points per game on 38.7 percent from the field this season.
Bam averaged 19.3 points per game last season, including 21 points, 12 rebounds and 15 points on 3-pointers against the Knicks. This is a bargain buy for Bam, who has scored at least 12 points in each of his last two games.
Chris Paul Over 6.5 Assists (-110) – 0.5 units
Chris Paul's assist prop was set at 7.5 or 8.5 in each of his first three games, but it dropped to 6.5 against the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday.
The San Antonio Spurs veteran point guard should get another major appearance on Wednesday, as backup Tre Jones has already been ruled out for this matchup.
CP3 had just three assists in 29 minutes in his last game, but has the potential to average 15.0 assists per game and had 80 cents and nine dimes in the first two games of the season.
OKC is averaging 25.3 assists per game in 2024-25, and CP3 expects them to bounce back from a poor game in which they moved the ball in their last game.
Odds are updated regularly and are subject to change.
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