The Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened the season with two straight wins before losing 26-7 to Denver last week. They'll look to bounce back on Sunday when they host the Philadelphia Eagles on their Week 4 NFL schedule. Philadelphia is coming off a 15-12 win at New Orleans and is a 2.5-point favorite in the Week 4 NFL odds. Should you include the Eagles in your Week 4 NFL parlay picks?
There are seven more NFL spreads for Week 4 that are smaller than a field goal, including the Monday Night Football game between the Dolphins and Titans. Miami quarterback Skylar Thompson has struggled in place of Tua Tagovailoa (concussion) and could be sidelined himself, while Titans quarterback Will Revis has made significant errors in his first three games. The Titans are favored by 1.5 points on the NFL spreads. Before making any Week 4 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model has simulated every NFL game 10,000 times and has returned over $7,000 in profits on $100 players on top-tier NFL picks since inception. The model has an astounding 187-130 record on top-tier NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season and entering Week 3 of the 2024 NFL season. The model is also 41-22 on top-tier NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for straight-up NFL picks four of the last six years and beat over 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that time, placing it pretty high on anyone who follows it.
Now, the model has thoroughly researched Week 4 NFL odds and confidently identified the five best NFL bets. If you successfully match this model's selections, you can expect to pay out a massive 25 to 1 payout. You can see this model's Week 4 NFL picks exclusively at SportsLine.
Top NFL picks for Week 4
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model expects the Chicago Bears (-3) to win at home against the Los Angeles Rams. Los Angeles finally earned its first win of the season last week, but it came after a fourth-quarter comeback against a San Francisco team lacking several superstars. The Rams have already lost two road games this season, including a 41-10 blowout defeat at Arizona State.
Chicago is just 5-14 in their last 19 road games, while Chicago enters Week 4 having won six straight home games. The Bears have covered the spread in seven of their nine home games against the Rams and five of their last six against NFC opponents. Star rookie quarterback Caleb Williams is playing at his best, which is one of the reasons our model projects Chicago to cover the spread in over 60 percent of simulations. For more NFL parlay picks, see here.
How to make an NFL parlay for Week 4
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where the odds were reportedly way off, including a game in which the visiting underdog went on to win outright, contrary to all oddsmakers' predictions. See the model's best NFL Week 4 bets and parlays, exclusively at SportsLine.
What's the model's top NFL pick for Week 4, and what other NFL matchups should you target for a 25-to-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to find out the answers by seeing the model's best Week 4 NFL bets, which are 187-130 on the top-rated pick.
